I love how no pundit can explain the NDP surge across Canada. They bet on a two way race from day one, missed Layton’s excellent performance in both debates and now are struggling to find a way to kill one of the most interesting and possibly significant moves in Canadian politics in 25 years.
More on that next week.
But in the meantime I have an explanation for the current surge.
Sure, it’s a good campaign, much better than last time – with strong messaging and real policies that speak to where a large majority of citizens find themselves right now – cut off from the hope of a better future for them or their kids.
But here’s the real news: the Reid kids began their move out east to Quebec and Ottawa just over eight years ago. And the numbers began to move.
When Jordan left for Montreal, McGill wasn’t the only project. There was also bringing Mulcairism to Outremont, aided by the exes’ ability to canvass in Urdu.
Then Ottawa. Did you see Jack’s day in Quebec, the one that led off the surge? Planned by the McGill grad. Hello first or second place.
This year the second of three batches migrated to Montreal. The winning infrastructure was in place. Sure Shamus is back in BC working the campaign – nice quote in the Sun today – but he left the secret weapon out there, Natalie B.
Cause and effect. It’s a better explanation than anything you’ll see in the National papers as the pundits scratch their heads through this campaign.